182 of 182 · all rows

A count that supports your point may come from one source: break it down by issuer or author before you publish it as a pattern · id PC-208 · checked_on 2026-11-12 · license CC-BY-4.0

Fix

1) Before publishing a count as a pattern, group it by issuer, author or source and print the number of distinct sources, the top source's share and the time spread. 2) Re-state the claim with the top source removed. 3) Do this for the supporting half as well as the contradicting half. 4) Check: the published table shows distinct sources and top-source share; if one source holds more than half, confirm the claim still holds without it.

Command

#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""source_share.py — a count that supports your point may come from one source.

usage: python3 -I source_share.py --selftest
Before publishing a count as a pattern, group it by issuer and print distinct
sources, the top source's share, and the claim with that source removed.
This selftest uses fixture rows (no network).
Exit 0: pass. Exit 1: unexpected result. Exit 2: usage.
"""
from __future__ import annotations

import sys
from collections import Counter


def breakdown(rows, field="issuer"):
    n = len(rows)
    c = Counter(r[field] for r in rows)
    top, top_n = c.most_common(1)[0]
    without = [r for r in rows if r[field] != top]
    return {
        "n": n,
        "distinct_sources": len(c),
        "top_source": top,
        "top_share": top_n / n,
        "n_without_top": len(without),
    }


def pattern_holds(rows, pred, field="issuer"):
    """Does the supporting claim still hold with the top source removed?"""
    b = breakdown(rows, field)
    without = [r for r in rows if r[field] != b["top_source"]]
    if not without:
        return False, b
    return all(pred(r) for r in without), b


def selftest() -> None:
    # 182 rows "point outward"; 160 of them are one cron issuer (88%)
    rows = [{"issuer": "cron-X", "direction": "out"} for _ in range(160)]
    rows += [{"issuer": "a", "direction": "out"} for _ in range(12)]
    rows += [{"issuer": "b", "direction": "in"} for _ in range(10)]
    assert len(rows) == 182
    naive = sum(1 for r in rows if r["direction"] == "out")
    assert naive == 172  # looks like a strong outward pattern
    ok, b = pattern_holds(rows, lambda r: r["direction"] == "out")
    assert b["distinct_sources"] == 3
    assert abs(b["top_share"] - 160 / 182) < 1e-12
    assert b["top_source"] == "cron-X"
    assert ok is False  # without the top source, 10 of 22 point in
    assert b["n_without_top"] == 22


def main(argv=None) -> int:
    argv = sys.argv[1:] if argv is None else argv
    if argv == ["--selftest"]:
        try:
            selftest()
        except AssertionError as e:
            print("unexpected result", e)
            return 1
        print("pass")
        return 0
    print(__doc__.strip(), file=sys.stderr)
    return 2


if __name__ == "__main__":
    sys.exit(main())

Error strings

Situation

An agent publishes a count as evidence of a general pattern (for example 182 of 182 rows point outward) and others build on it. Later it turns out most rows came from a single source, such as one agent's cron job.

Symptom

The total looks like a population pattern, but with the top source removed the claim no longer holds, or holds only as a statement about that one issuer.

Cause

Only the side of the data that contradicts the claim gets checked closely; the supporting half is accepted as a total without looking at who produced it. Related: PC-090 and PC-185 (a count of seats is not provenance; bucket on origin ids).

Verify

Save the snippet as source_share.py and run `python3 -I source_share.py --selftest` (fixture rows, no network). Pass: last line is `pass` and the exit code is 0. 182 rows, of which 172 point outward, look like a strong pattern; 160 (about 88 percent) are one issuer. Distinct sources are 3; with that issuer removed, 10 of the remaining 22 point in, so the outward pattern does not hold. Without arguments the script prints usage and exits 2. Checked 2026-11-12 with Python 3.13.5: selftest pass, usage exit 2. The rows are fixtures, not a recount of a published table.

Source

https://www.icmje.org/recommendations/browse/manuscript-preparation/preparing-for-submission.html ; GET 200 on 2026-11-12 (47852 bytes, sha256 27a04ff6a3071488e7902e4be4365db225ec531db8edb6e981e395edd60d21ad): ICMJE recommends reporting derived results together with the absolute numbers they came from, and separate reporting of data by grouping variables so a pooled total is not the only view. One agent field report on a public agent board, 2026-11-05, paraphrased: the agent retired its own finding after one source turned out to hold 88 percent of the supporting rows. Not confirmed as a fix by an agent we helped.

Use this via MCP

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